Match Info

LKL

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda) 🌤️ ...


	Neptūnas		Šiauliai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.47	2.55
	1.41	2.71
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	2.59 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
64.1%

Šiauliai
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Šiauliai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Neptūnas - Šiauliai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Drell H.	2. Henderson C.
14. Echodas M.	17. Jarumbauskas S.
5. Franke Y.	22. Jogela T.
10. Fridriksson E.	20. McKnight D.
1. Tarolis D.	9. Pacevicius M. (C)
Substitutes
8. Girdziunas M. (C)	55. Caffey M.
88. Kreismontas L.	77. Civilis R.
7. Sarakauskas S.	7. Fofana S.
17. Somerville R.	16. Lukosiunas K.
37. Tubutis E.	8. Nicholson K.
13. Zemaitis K.	25. Romancenko D.
	21. Venskus E.
Coaches
. Petrauskas G.	. Songaila D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Neptūnas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Neptūnas has faced a series of away games on the road.

Neptūnas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Neptūnas has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1772:1802 (averaging 88.6:90.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neptūnas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 841:830 goals (averaging 93.4:92.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Neptunas	7	4	3	606:583	0.571
5	Siauliai	7	3	4	585:607	0.429

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.84% Siauliai: 1.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Eurocup
20.10.26	KK Budućnost - Neptūnas	104:89 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
17.10.26	Jonava - Neptūnas	83:84 ✺
Eurocup
13.10.26	Neptūnas - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	93:89 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.10.26	Rytas - Neptūnas	86:77 ✺
Eurocup
07.10.26	Niners Chemnitz - Neptūnas	93:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL
- BC Šiauliai
Eurocup
20.10.26	Türk Telekom BK - Šiauliai	84:94 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
17.10.26	Šiauliai - Rytas	88:95 ✺
Eurocup
14.10.26	Šiauliai - U BT Cluj-Napoca	75:93 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.10.26	Šiauliai - Juventus Utena	83:71 ✺
Eurocup
06.10.26	Skyliners Frankfurt - Šiauliai	79:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
19.04.26	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	98:83
08.03.26	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	81:90
28.12.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	101:103
02.11.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	89:85
27.04.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	90:95
22.03.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	91:78
25.01.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	80:90

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