Match Info

LKL

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Šiauliai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.61
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	2.52 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
63.2%

Šiauliai
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Šiauliai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neptūnas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šiauliai than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Šiauliai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neptūnas - Šiauliai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Berucka A.	2. Henderson C.
10. Kozys V.	8. Kariniauskas V. (C)
6. Lomazs R.	14. Pleikys O.
25. Silins K.	25. Romancenko D.
11. Velicka A.	3. Stanley C.
Substitutes
0. Cleary H.	9. Baslyk D.
8. Girdziunas M. (C)	77. Civilis R.
15. Klanjscek M.	7. Fofana S.
2. Kneizys R.	20. McKnight D.
13. Majauskas A.	11. Vene S.
1. Tarolis D.
Coaches
. Petrauskas G.	. Songaila D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 1.

Neptūnas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Šiauliai is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Neptūnas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neptūnas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1742:1818. (average 87.1:90.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 743:747. (average 92.9:93.4).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.92% Siauliai: 1.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Neptunas	4	2	2	335:326	0.500
4	Siauliai	4	2	2	326:331	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.04.26	Neptūnas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	87:67 ✺
06.04.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	95:89 ✺
28.03.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	96:87 OT ✺
21.03.26	Jonava - Neptūnas	81:64 ✺
14.03.26	Gargždai - Neptūnas	81:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- BC Šiauliai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.04.26	Gargždai - Šiauliai	78:81 ✺
12.04.26	Šiauliai - Rytas	107:90 ✺
03.04.26	Šiauliai - Jonava	96:77 ✺
28.03.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Šiauliai	87:88 ✺
22.03.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Šiauliai	94:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.03.26	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	81:90
28.12.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	101:103
02.11.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	89:85
27.04.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	90:95
22.03.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	91:78
25.01.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	80:90
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
27.11.24	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	101:104 OT

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