Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 5

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Hala sportova Ranko Žeravica (Belgrade)

Referee: Rebeusek A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Mega Basket		Ilirija

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.33	3.05
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	2.8 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mega Basket
66.8%

Ilirija
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mega Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mega Basket - Ilirija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Dulovic A.	9. Tomazic T.
6. Markovic B.	8. Muric E.
19. Suigo L.	12. Shittu S.
5. Drezgic S.	35. Kures L.
8. Kroflic U.	1. Green W.
Substitutes
35. Gacic L.	55. Boisa L.
0. Milenkovic A.	11. Faganel L.
77. Musicki A.	3. Gabrijel B.
4. Radojicic V.	10. Jaramaz O.
11. Siby A.	13. Jurkovic R.
23. Srzentic O.	6. Skorjanc G.
7. Vukcevic M.	23. Vukotic T.
Coaches
. Avdalovic V.	. Modric S.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mega Basket may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mega Basket has had a series of away games.

Mega Basket will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Mega Basket - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.97%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
25.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Mega Basket	94:73 ✺
17.10.25	Vienna Basket - Mega Basket	88:81 ✺
12.10.25	Mega Basket - Bosna	106:88 ✺
05.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Mega Basket	117:81 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.25	Borac Čačak - Mega Basket	69:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Liga Basketball
28.10.25	Ilirija - Šenčur	103:98 OT ✺
25.10.25	Ilirija - Zlatorog Laško	120:90 ✺
Adriatic League
20.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Ilirija	101:87 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
15.10.25	Helios Suns Domžale - Ilirija	77:64 ✺
Adriatic League
12.10.25	Ilirija - KK Zadar	85:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW

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