Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 18

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Hala sportova Ranko Žeravica (Belgrade)

Referee: Stefanovic I. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Mega Basket		Spartak Subotica

	1	2
	2.05	1.7
	2.06	1.76
	1.99	1.73
	2.05	1.67
	2.11	1.75
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.95)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mega Basket
45.2%

Spartak Subotica
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mega Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Spartak Subotica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mega Basket - Spartak Subotica Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mega Basket will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Spartak Subotica will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mega Basket: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mega Basket (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Spartak Subotica (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Dulovic A.	4. Drobnjak I.
8. Kroflic U.	7. Hanlan O.
1. Luc K.	13. Medarevic V.
6. Markovic B.	8. Momirov S.
19. Suigo L.	21. Thompson S.
Substitutes
5. Drezgic S.	2. Banjac U.
35. Gacic L.	33. Bodrozic B.
77. Musicki A.	3. Cerovina L.
4. Radojicic V.	23. Hawkins J.
11. Siby A.	22. Ilic D.
23. Srzentic O.	34. Nikolic D.
7. Vukcevic M.	44. Rebic N.
Coaches
. Avdalovic V.	. Jovanovic V.

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 3.

In recent matches, Mega Basket has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spartak Subotica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spartak Subotica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Mega Basket will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 524:510. (average 87.3:85).

Including home matches between the teams, Mega Basket won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 277:243. (average 92.3:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
01.02.26	Mega Basket - Crvena Zvezda	107:102 ✺
24.01.26	Ilirija - Mega Basket	77:86 ✺
18.01.26	Bosna - Mega Basket	94:83 ✺
05.01.26	Mega Basket - Vienna Basket	100:98 ✺
26.12.25	KK Budućnost - Mega Basket	100:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWL
- KK Spartak Subotica
Adriatic League
31.01.26	Spartak Subotica - KK Budućnost	66:75 ✺
16.01.26	Vienna Basket - Spartak Subotica	118:114 OT ✺
11.01.26	Spartak Subotica - Ilirija	104:86 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.01.26	Karditsas - Spartak Subotica	84:75 ✺
06.01.26	Spartak Subotica - Karditsas	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
06.12.25	Spartak Subotica - Mega Basket	85:73
15.04.25	Mega Basket - Spartak Subotica	97:90
14.12.24	Spartak Subotica - Mega Basket	110:86
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.23	Mega Basket - Spartak Subotica	87:85
Serbian Superleague Basketball
31.05.17	Mega Basket - Spartak Subotica	93:68
09.05.17	Spartak Subotica - Mega Basket	72:88

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