Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Melilla		Cartagena

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.47	2.5
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
61.6%

Cartagena
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Cordoba P.	12. Domenech A.
9. Cruz-Uceda I.	2. Garuba S.
22. Diaz Rodriguez C.	11. Idehen E. R.
5. Heron M.	4. Rivera I.
1. Poirier D.	10. Webster K.
Substitutes
21. Debaut L.	13. Faverani V.
44. Garcia Sanchez J.	19. Harguindey A.
0. Johnson J.	5. Martin A.
12. Krutous P.	1. Polytnice C.
4. Peno S.	15. Rodriguez M.
50. Rodriguez S.	20. Svejcar S.
33. Stilma M.

Preview

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Melilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Zamora - Melilla	97:88 ✺
21.12.25	Melilla - Menorca	65:95 ✺
17.12.25	Gipuzkoa Basket - Melilla	84:62 ✺
14.12.25	Melilla - Fibwi Palma	72:79 ✺
06.12.25	Ourense - Melilla	98:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Cartagena CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Cartagena - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	75:88 ✺
28.12.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Cartagena	95:77 ✺
20.12.25	Cartagena - Básquet Coruña	80:89 ✺
17.12.25	Cartagena - Estela	68:74 ✺
14.12.25	Palmer Basket - Cartagena	77:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Melilla - Cartagena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide