Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 12

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Cartagena		Estela

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.42	2.55
	1.41	2.88
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.48	2.47
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.57 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
64%

Estela
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Estela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estela than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartagena - Estela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Davis J.	15. Hernandez P.
12. Domenech A.	32. Johnson R.
11. Idehen E. R.	10. Martinez G.
4. Rivera I.	8. Rodriguez S.
10. Webster K.	11. Yu Jiahao
Substitutes
13. Faverani V.	12. Alderete D.
2. Garuba S.	34. Kande G.
19. Harguindey A.	9. Lugarini B.
5. Martin A.	23. Lutete IV C.
1. Polytnice C.	2. Powell J.
15. Rodriguez M.	6. Taboada C.
20. Svejcar S.

Preview

Cartagena has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Estela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cartagena could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:162. (average 78:81).

Including home match between the teams, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 87:78.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
14.12.25	Palmer Basket - Cartagena	77:68 ✺
22.11.25	Zamora - Cartagena	90:71 ✺
15.11.25	Cartagena - Obradoiro CAB	68:94 ✺
08.11.25	Ourense - Cartagena	91:65 ✺
01.11.25	Cartagena - Estudiantes	68:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Estela
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
13.12.25	Estela - Menorca	83:80 ✺
06.12.25	Oviedo - Estela	97:79 ✺
23.11.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Estela	101:90 ✺
15.11.25	Estela - Burgos	81:89 ✺
01.11.25	Estela - Melilla	76:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
09.05.25	Estela - Cartagena	84:69
12.01.25	Cartagena - Estela	87:78

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