Match Info
Primera FEB - Round 33Date: 3 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Melilla |
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Ourense |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 159.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melilla
68.1% | Ourense
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (+14.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Melilla - Ourense Predictions
Users Predictions:
Melilla will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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24.  Caicedo M.
| 22.  Kalscheur G.
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4.  Ceccardi S.
| 28.  Lisboa R.
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9. Cruz-Uceda I.
| 24. McDonnel S.
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10. Hoover N.
| 9.  Okanu K.
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33.  Stilma M.
| 7.  Vrabac A.
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| Substitutes |
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7. Cordoba P.
| 11. Fernandez M.
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22. Diaz Rodriguez C.
| 35.  Gill R.
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44. Garcia Sanchez J.
| 12. Huguet S.
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0. Johnson J.
| 27. Iglesias M.
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12.  Krutous P.
| 41.  Jurgens C.
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3. Mc Mullen N.
| 10. Vazquez I.
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13. Rodriguez S.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 2.In recent matches, Melilla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Ourense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Melilla could have a small edge in this match.We predict that Melilla will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1520:1463. (average 76:73.2).Including home matches between the teams, Melilla won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 908:824. (average 82.5:74.9).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | Ourense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181:157 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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