The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Memphis Grizzlies 19%
Denver Nuggets 81%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.8%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Memphis Grizzlies's form might have worsened.
Denver Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denver Nuggets's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+33.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis Grizzlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (-33.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Nuggets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Memphis Grizzlies - Denver Nuggets Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Denver will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Denver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Memphis has had a series of home games.
Memphis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke B.
(Calf Injury)
Edey Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Jerome T.
(Calf Injury)
Morant J.
(Elbow Injury)
Pippen Jr S.
(Toe Injury)
There will not play in Denver: Bates T.
(Foot Injury)
Braun C.
(Ankle Injury)
Gordon A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johnson C.
(Knee Injury)
Jokic N.
(Knee Injury)
Murray J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Denver: Valanciunas J.
(Calf Injury)
Watson P.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2156:2290. (average 107.8:114.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Memphis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1077:1067. (average 107.7:106.7).
Outrights of NBA for now
Denver Nuggets: 3.22% Memphis Grizzlies: 0.15%
Last Results with these Odds
Memphis Grizzlies - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Denver Nuggets - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.19%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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