The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oklahoma City Thunder 68.6%
Denver Nuggets 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.9%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.3%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oklahoma City Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Denver Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oklahoma City Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Nuggets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
0%
7.1%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Oklahoma City will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Denver will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oklahoma City: 79.4% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -8, OT - Denver (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -8.5, OT - Oklahoma City (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 232.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 233 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -3.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -4, OT - Oklahoma City (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -4.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -5.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +4.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +3.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +2.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -2.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -3, OT - Oklahoma City (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oklahoma City Thunder will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Oklahoma City (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Denver (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:113
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Wallace C.
23. Johnson C.
5. Dort L.
32. Gordon A.
6. Williams J.
15. Jokic N.
11. Joe I.
0. Braun C.
2. Gilgeous-Alexander S.
27. Murray J.
Coaches
. Daigneault M.
. Adelman D.
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oklahoma City won 4.
Oklahoma City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Denver has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Oklahoma City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Oklahoma City: Carlson B.
(Back Injury)
Caruso A.
(Hip Injury)
Hartenstein I.
(Calf Injury)
Holmgren C.
(Illness)
Mitchell A.
(Abdominal strain)
Sorber T.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Denver: Bates T.
(Foot Injury)
Watson P.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Denver: Murray J.
(Ankle Injury)
We predict that Oklahoma City will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oklahoma City won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2290:2152. (average 114.5:107.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Oklahoma City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1180:1108. (average 118:110.8).
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Last Results with these Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 70.87%, but this team recently wins 85% of matches with these odds.