Match Info
NBADate: 12 March 2026, ThursdayLocation: FedExForum (Memphis, TN)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Memphis Grizzlies |
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Dallas Mavericks |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 238.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Memphis Grizzlies
34% | Dallas Mavericks
66% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Memphis Grizzlies's form might have worsened.Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dallas Mavericks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis Grizzlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dallas Mavericks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Memphis: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5.5, OT - Memphis (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 236.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Memphis Grizzlies will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Memphis (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dallas (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 116:122 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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0.  Wells J.
| 13. Marshall N.
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45. Jackson G.
| 25. Washington P. J.
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18.  Prosper O.
| 21. Gafford D.
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32.  Rupert R.
| 00. Christie M.
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10. Small J.
| 32. Flagg C.
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| Substitutes |
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4. Burton T.
| 35. Bagley M.
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22. Hendricks T.
| 8. Johnson A.
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21. Mashack J.
| 16. Martin Ca.
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| 20. Middleton K.
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| 9. Nembhard R.
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| 7. Powell D.
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| 10. Williams B.
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| Coaches |
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.  Iisalo T.
| . Kidd J.
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Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 13)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 5.Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.Memphis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games. Dallas could have a small edge in this match.There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S.
(Knee Injury)
Caldwell-Pope K.
(Finger Injury)
Clarke B.
(Calf Injury)
Edey Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Morant J.
(Elbow Injury)
Pippen Jr S.
(Toe Injury)There will not play in Dallas: Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Lively D.
(Foot Injury)There are questionable in Memphis: Clayton W.
(Ankle Injury)
Coward C.
(Knee Injury)
Gibson T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Jerome T.
(Calf Injury)
Spencer C.
(Back Injury)There are questionable in Dallas: Thompson K.
(Rest)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2233:2147. (average 111.7:107.4).Including home matches between the teams, Memphis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1129:1072. (average 112.9:107.2).
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Last Results with these Odds
Memphis Grizzlies - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 39.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 27.02.26 | Dallas Mavericks - Memphis Grizzlies | 105:124 | | 22.11.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Memphis Grizzlies | 96:102 | | 07.11.25 | Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks | 118:104 | | 18.04.25 | Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks | 120:106 | | 13.04.25 | Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks | 132:97 | | 07.03.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Memphis Grizzlies | 111:122 | | 06.01.25 | Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks | 119:104 |
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