Match Info

NCAA

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+
Brazil	23:00	Disney+
Chile	23:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+
Mexico	20:00	Disney+
Peru	21:00	Disney+
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+


	Memphis Tigers		Wichita State Shockers

	1	2
	1.79	1.96
	1.8	1.92
	1.85	2.01
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.73)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis Tigers
52.2%

Wichita State Shockers
47.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Wichita State Shockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wichita State Shockers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Memphis Tigers - Wichita State Shockers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:74

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 2.

Recent form of Memphis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wichita State is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wichita State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1359:1291. (average 75.5:71.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Memphis won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 789:744. (average 71.7:67.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Wichita State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis Tigers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.02.26	Memphis Tigers - UAB Blazers	67:78 ✺
19.02.26	South Florida Bulls - Memphis Tigers	87:66 ✺
14.02.26	Utah State Aggies - Memphis Tigers	99:75 ✺
12.02.26	North Texas Mean Green - Memphis Tigers	76:69 ✺
08.02.26	Memphis Tigers - Charlotte 49ers	77:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Wichita State Shockers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	Wichita State Shockers - Temple Owls	69:57 ✺
18.02.26	East Carolina Pirates - Wichita State Shockers	89:92 OT ✺
14.02.26	Wichita State Shockers - Tulsa Golden Hurricane	81:77 ✺
11.02.26	Wichita State Shockers - South Florida Bulls	58:66 ✺
08.02.26	Tulane Green Wave - Wichita State Shockers	61:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Wichita State Shockers - Memphis Tigers	74:59
14.03.25	Memphis Tigers - Wichita State Shockers	83:80
16.02.25	Wichita State Shockers - Memphis Tigers	84:79 OT
23.01.25	Memphis Tigers - Wichita State Shockers	61:53
14.03.24	Memphis Tigers - Wichita State Shockers	65:71
03.02.24	Memphis Tigers - Wichita State Shockers	65:63
14.01.24	Wichita State Shockers - Memphis Tigers	86:112

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis Tigers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.11.26	Iowa State Cyclones - Memphis Tigers	✺

Memphis Tigers - Wichita State Shockers