Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Pamukkale Üniversitesi Spor Salonu (Denizli)


	Merkezefendi		Tofaş

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.39
	2.71	1.36
	2.20	1.53	Watch
	2.85	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.2)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merkezefendi
34.9%

Tofaş
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merkezefendi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merkezefendi's form might have worsened.

Tofaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tofaş's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merkezefendi than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merkezefendi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tofaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merkezefendi - Tofaş Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merkezefendi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Tanisan E.	30. Korkmaz F.
12. Bleijenbergh V.	3. Saybir Y.
24. Omic A.	22. Blazevic M.
18. Badzim R.	25. Besson H.
4. Speedy Smith	2. Perez-Kaufmann A.
Substitutes
46. Agva M.	1. Cengiz O.
21. Cazalon M.	8. Gecim T. (C)
1. Griffin S.	15. Kidd L.
31. Hawkins J. (C)	21. Lewis M.
13. Ilyasoglu O.	5. Malic Whaley S.
77. Paltaci E.	6. Postel E.
5. Yilmaz M.	32. Thomasson J.
Coaches
. Aktas Z.	. Rajkovikj E.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merkezefendi won 0.

Merkezefendi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tofaş's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tofaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tofaş could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Merkezefendi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 652:760. (average 81.5:95).

Including home matches between the teams, Merkezefendi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 339:384. (average 84.8:96).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merkezefendi Belediyesi Yuksekcita Kolej
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.11.25	Bahcesehir Koleji - Merkezefendi	85:67 ✺
01.11.25	Merkezefendi - Beşiktaş	77:95 ✺
25.10.25	Körfez - Merkezefendi	88:79 ✺
19.10.25	Merkezefendi - Trabzonspor	84:75 ✺
12.10.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Merkezefendi	90:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- Tofas S.K.
Champions League Basketball
11.11.25	Canarias - Tofaş	80:70 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.11.25	Tofaş - Bursaspor	84:70 ✺
31.10.25	Esenler Erokspor - Tofaş	92:70 ✺
Champions League Basketball
28.10.25	Tofaş - Canarias	64:81 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
25.10.25	Tofaş - Büyükçekmece	91:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.05.25	Merkezefendi - Tofaş	92:94
12.01.25	Tofaş - Merkezefendi	91:80
28.01.24	Tofaş - Merkezefendi	98:77
13.10.23	Merkezefendi - Tofaş	93:97
16.04.23	Merkezefendi - Tofaş	88:95 OT
12.12.22	Tofaş - Merkezefendi	90:79
26.03.22	Merkezefendi - Tofaş	66:98

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