Match Info

NCAA

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Merrimack Warriors		Fairfield Stags

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.62	2.21
	1.63	2.34
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.61	2.24
	1.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
58.3%

Fairfield Stags
41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Merrimack Warriors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Fairfield Stags have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fairfield Stags than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5, OT - Merrimack (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merrimack (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:70

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fairfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Merrimack has had a series of away games.

Merrimack could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 142:108. (average 71:54).

Including home match between the teams, Merrimack won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 67:54.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Rider Broncs	68:66 ✺
30.11.25	La Salle Explorers - Merrimack Warriors	60:66 ✺
29.11.25	Hofstra Pride - Merrimack Warriors	78:58 ✺
28.11.25	Pennsylvania Quakers - Merrimack Warriors	77:65 ✺
21.11.25	Florida Gators - Merrimack Warriors	80:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL
- Fairfield Stags basketball
NCAA College Basketball
05.12.25	Manhattan Jaspers - Fairfield Stags	70:66 ✺
30.11.25	Fairfield Stags - New Hampshire Wildcats	72:68 ✺
26.11.25	Fairfield Stags - Columbia Lions	77:106 ✺
22.11.25	Le Moyne Dolphins - Fairfield Stags	83:97 ✺
16.11.25	Fairfield Stags - Loyola MD Greyhounds	85:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
25.01.25	Fairfield Stags - Merrimack Warriors	54:75
03.01.25	Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags	67:54

Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide