Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 15

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Palasport Taliercio (Mestre)


	Mestre		Blu Basket Bergamo

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.88
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mestre
51.1%

Blu Basket Bergamo
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Blu Basket Bergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blu Basket Bergamo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Mestre - Blu Basket Bergamo Predictions

Users Predictions: Mestre will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mestre will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Bechi C.	12. Bogliardi M.
32. Bonacini F.	7. Harrison D.
1. Curry K.	11. Loro A.
4. Galmarini L.	17. Udom M.
12. Steward W.	1. Williams J.
Substitutes
45. Aromando S.	4. Bosso L.
21. Bizzotto P.	21. Lombardi E.
0. Giordano N.	14. Nobili N.
15. Kadjividi S.	10. Piccirilli A.
7. Porcu M.	20. Pollone M.
25. Reggiani F.
9. Scarponi A.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mestre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Mestre will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
17	Mestre	2	1	1	128:145	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Mestre 1958
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.01.26	Mestre - Forlì	55:83 ✺
03.01.26	Cividale - Mestre	77:63 ✺
27.12.25	Mestre - Basket Torino	74:69 ✺
19.12.25	Libertas Livorno - Mestre	75:79 ✺
13.12.25	Mestre - Verona	74:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW
- Blu Basket Bergamo
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.01.26	Blu Basket Bergamo - Libertas Livorno	68:76 ✺
04.01.26	Scafati - Blu Basket Bergamo	78:59 ✺
28.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Forlì	93:79 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Torino - Blu Basket Bergamo	99:66 ✺
14.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Brindisi	95:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

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