Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monza Arena (Monza) 🌤️ ...


	Blu Basket Bergamo		Libertas Livorno

	1	2
	1.65	2.12
	1.63	2.05
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blu Basket Bergamo
55.9%

Libertas Livorno
44.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blu Basket Bergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Libertas Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blu Basket Bergamo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertas Livorno than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Blu Basket Bergamo - Libertas Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Bosso L.	8. Fantoni T.
7. Harrison D.	3. Genti N.
10. Piccirilli A.	9. Gubinelli N.
0. Stefanini G.	5. Tiby M.
1. Williams J.	1. Woodson A.
Substitutes
12. Bogliardi M.	12. Filloy A.
44. Guiducci A.	75. Filoni N.
21. Lombardi E.	24. Penna L.
11. Loro A.	14. Piccoli M.
14. Nobili N.	33. Possamai L.
20. Pollone M.	11. Tozzi L.
17. Udom M.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Blu Basket will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blu Basket won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 150:176. (average 75:88).

Including home match between the teams, Blu Basket won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 78:101.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	490:402	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blu Basket Bergamo
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
04.01.26	Scafati - Blu Basket Bergamo	78:59 ✺
28.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Forlì	93:79 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Torino - Blu Basket Bergamo	99:66 ✺
14.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Brindisi	95:80 ✺
10.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Fortitudo Bologna	65:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW
- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
04.01.26	Libertas Livorno - Avellino Basket	82:77 ✺
28.12.25	Ruvo di Puglia - Libertas Livorno	89:83 ✺
19.12.25	Libertas Livorno - Mestre	75:79 ✺
14.12.25	Rieti - Libertas Livorno	64:75 ✺
07.12.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Libertas Livorno	66:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
19.10.25	Libertas Livorno - Blu Basket Bergamo	75:72
Club Friendly Basketball
30.08.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Libertas Livorno	78:101

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