Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders		Sam Houston State Bearkats

	1	2
	1.44	2.85
	1.37	2.9
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	2.66
	1.38	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	2.85 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
66.9%

Sam Houston State Bearkats
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sam Houston State Bearkats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sam Houston State Bearkats than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Sam Houston State Bearkats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Middle Tennessee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Middle Tennessee has had a series of home games.

Recently, Sam Houston State has had a series of away games.

In this match, Middle Tennessee is a strong favorite.

We predict that Middle Tennessee will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Middle Tennessee won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 266:286. (average 66.5:71.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Middle Tennessee won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 125:130. (average 62.5:65).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	88:51 ✺
29.12.25	Houston Cougars - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	69:60 ✺
17.12.25	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Kennesaw State Owls	68:67 ✺
07.12.25	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Belmont Bruins	62:83 ✺
01.12.25	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - UAB Blazers	76:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- Sam Houston State Bearkats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Sam Houston State Bearkats	102:91 ✺
21.12.25	New Mexico State Aggies - Sam Houston State Bearkats	87:78 ✺
17.12.25	Oregon State Beavers - Sam Houston State Bearkats	75:85 ✺
06.12.25	Texas Southern Tigers - Sam Houston State Bearkats	70:82 ✺
02.12.25	Oklahoma State Cowboys - Sam Houston State Bearkats	93:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.02.25	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Sam Houston State Bearkats	74:70
23.01.25	Sam Houston State Bearkats - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	75:77
02.03.24	Sam Houston State Bearkats - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	81:64
13.01.24	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Sam Houston State Bearkats	51:60

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Sam Houston State Bearkats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide