Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Mississippi State Bulldogs		Southern Methodist Mustangs

	1	2
	1.95	1.87
	1.93	1.81
	1.95	1.9
	1.85	1.80	Watch
	1.88	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mississippi State Bulldogs
49%

Southern Methodist Mustangs
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mississippi State Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Southern Methodist Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mississippi State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Mississippi State Bulldogs - Southern Methodist Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Preview

Recent performances by Mississippi State have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Southern Methodist is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Southern Methodist has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Southern Methodist will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mississippi State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 158:149. (average 79:74.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mississippi State Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.25	Mississippi State Bulldogs - New Orleans Privateers	81:78 OT ✺
21.11.25	New Mexico Lobos - Mississippi State Bulldogs	80:78 ✺
20.11.25	Kansas State Wildcats - Mississippi State Bulldogs	98:77 ✺
15.11.25	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Southeastern Louisiana Lions	75:68 ✺
10.11.25	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Iowa State Cyclones	96:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- Southern Methodist Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Radford Highlanders	89:72 ✺
21.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Arkansas State Red Wolves	100:69 ✺
18.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	106:60 ✺
15.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Butler Bulldogs	87:85 ✺
11.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Murray State Racers	102:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.11.24	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Mississippi State Bulldogs	79:84
16.01.13	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Mississippi State Bulldogs	70:74

Mississippi State Bulldogs - Southern Methodist Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide