Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Missouri State Bears		UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

	1	2
	2	1.83
	2	1.83
	2	1.83	Watch
	2.06	1.8
	1.99	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.87	1.95
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.71)	1.83 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Missouri State Bears
48.1%

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Missouri State Bears's form might have worsened.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UC Santa Barbara Gauchos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Missouri State Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC Santa Barbara Gauchos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Missouri State Bears - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:69

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.12.24	Missouri State Bears - Lincoln Blue Tigers	61:49 ✺
14.12.24	Washington State Cougars - Missouri State Bears	91:78 ✺
07.12.24	Missouri State Bears - Indiana State Sycamores	77:80 ✺
01.12.24	Oral Roberts Golden Eagles - Missouri State Bears	67:72 ✺
26.11.24	Missouri State Bears - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	55:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.12.24	Loyola Marymount Lions - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	60:58 ✺
14.12.24	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix	83:66 ✺
07.12.24	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	71:60 ✺
05.12.24	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC San Diego Tritons	76:84 ✺
29.11.24	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	81:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLW

Missouri State Bears - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide