Match Info

BBL - Round 4

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadthalle Weissenfels (Weissenfels)


	Mitteldeutscher		Ratiopharm Ulm

	1	2
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.12	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.16	1.66
	2.31	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.11)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitteldeutscher
42.8%

Ratiopharm Ulm
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitteldeutscher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ratiopharm Ulm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitteldeutscher than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratiopharm Ulm than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mitteldeutscher - Ratiopharm Ulm Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. MBC will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ulm will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MBC: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MBC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 169.5, OT - under (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Gaines A.	0. Atamna A.
3. Hunt D.	12. Rataj M.
44. Planinic J.	45. Shittu O.
31. Reaves S.	30. Sims J.
22. Simanic B.	2. Watson-Boye I.
Substitutes
21. Clyburn K.	11. Faye M.
1. de Oliveira G.	47. Heckel M.
10. Mushidi K.	3. Koroma D.
9. Nikic K.	55. Liedtke L.
4. Radojicic V.	8. Schmidt D.
42. Siegert M.	94. Traore A.
40. Welp C.
Coaches
. Jovanovic V.	. Harrelson T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MBC won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Ulm may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, MBC has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1665:1880 (averaging 83.3:94 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for MBC against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 732:805 goals (averaging 81.3:89.4 per game).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Ulm: 4.65% Syntainics MBC: 0.69%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Syntainics MBC	4	2	2	319:307	4
10	Ulm	4	2	2	318:334	4

Last Results with these Odds

Ratiopharm Ulm - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.98%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitteldeutscher BC
German BBL
27.09.26	Baskets Bonn - Mitteldeutscher	77:74 ✺
25.09.26	Mitteldeutscher - Science City Jena	77:62 ✺
20.09.26	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Mitteldeutscher	96:81 ✺
German Cup Basketball
12.09.26	BG Göttingen - Mitteldeutscher	83:113 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
08.09.26	Mitteldeutscher - BBC Bayreuth	108:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- Ratiopharm Ulm
Eurocup
30.09.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Balkan Botevgrad	98:84 ✺
German BBL
27.09.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - s.Oliver Wurzburg	67:90 ✺
25.09.26	Phoenix Hagen - Ratiopharm Ulm	78:93 ✺
20.09.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Ludwigsburg	86:77 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
06.09.26	Joventut Badalona - Ratiopharm Ulm	72:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
01.04.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Mitteldeutscher	104:81
11.10.25	Mitteldeutscher - Ratiopharm Ulm	75:71
08.02.25	Ratiopharm Ulm - Mitteldeutscher	92:66
04.01.25	Mitteldeutscher - Ratiopharm Ulm	89:92
21.04.24	Ratiopharm Ulm - Mitteldeutscher	106:79
29.12.23	Mitteldeutscher - Ratiopharm Ulm	75:107
02.05.23	Ratiopharm Ulm - Mitteldeutscher	128:122 OT

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