Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A1 WOMEN - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palazzetto Dello Sport Einaudi (Moncalieri) 🌤️ ...


	Moncalieri		Campobasso

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.65	2.03
	1.71	2.06
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.66	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.23)	2.05 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 131.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncalieri
55%

Campobasso
45%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncalieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moncalieri's performance.

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Campobasso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncalieri than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncalieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campobasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.2%	0%	6.8%

Moncalieri - Campobasso Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Moncalieri will win (votes: 68 - 93.2%). Campobasso will win (votes: 5 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moncalieri: 87.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:65

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moncalieri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 105-136.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncalieri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 49-72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Moncalieri
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
11.12.22	Venezia - Moncalieri	69:50 ✺
06.12.22	Moncalieri - Lucca	79:66 ✺
19.11.22	San Giovanni Valdarno - Moncalieri	67:75 ✺
13.11.22	Moncalieri - Brixia	56:50 ✺
05.11.22	Famila Schio - Moncalieri	74:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL
- Magnolia Campobasso
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
11.12.22	Campobasso - Virtus Bologna	72:75 ✺
04.12.22	Campobasso - San Giovanni Valdarno	74:59 ✺
19.11.22	Crema - Campobasso	59:63 ✺
12.11.22	Campobasso - Famila Schio	52:85 ✺
06.11.22	Brixia - Campobasso	61:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
13.03.22	Campobasso - Moncalieri	64:56
12.12.21	Moncalieri - Campobasso	49:72

Moncalieri - Campobasso