Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A1 WOMEN - PLAY OUT - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Palazzetto Dello Sport Einaudi (Moncalieri)


	Moncalieri		Lucca

	1	2
	1.7	2
	1.78	1.97
	1.8	1.91
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.75	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)	1.96 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 133.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncalieri
52.9%

Lucca
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncalieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lucca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncalieri than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Moncalieri - Lucca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:66

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Preview

3rd leg. Series tied 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moncalieri won 2.

Moncalieri is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lucca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Moncalieri won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 390-429.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncalieri won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 217-202.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Moncalieri
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
10.04.23	Lucca - Moncalieri	73:54 ✺
06.04.23	Moncalieri - Lucca	80:59 ✺
26.03.23	Moncalieri - Virtus Eirene Ragusa	57:68 ✺
19.03.23	Campobasso - Moncalieri	71:49 ✺
12.03.23	Moncalieri - Venezia	66:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Basket Femminile Le Mura Lucca
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
10.04.23	Lucca - Moncalieri	73:54 ✺
06.04.23	Moncalieri - Lucca	80:59 ✺
26.03.23	Lucca - Faenza	68:72 ✺
19.03.23	Brixia - Lucca	50:77 ✺
12.03.23	Virtus Eirene Ragusa - Lucca	78:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
10.04.23	Lucca - Moncalieri	73:54
06.04.23	Moncalieri - Lucca	80:59
08.03.23	Lucca - Moncalieri	78:60
06.12.22	Moncalieri - Lucca	79:66
16.01.22	Moncalieri - Lucca	58:77
17.10.21	Lucca - Moncalieri	76:59

Moncalieri - Lucca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide