Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Monmouth Hawks		Fairfield Stags

	1	2
	1.59	2.45
	1.57	2.45
	1.57	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.5
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.3
	1.61	2.42
	1.57	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monmouth Hawks
60.6%

Fairfield Stags
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monmouth Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fairfield Stags has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monmouth Hawks than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fairfield Stags than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Monmouth Hawks - Fairfield Stags Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:71

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monmouth won 3.

Monmouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fairfield is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Monmouth have a series of guest games.

Monmouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Monmouth won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1263:1111 (average 66.5:58.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Monmouth won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 738:625 (average 67.1:56.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monmouth Hawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.12.24	Princeton Tigers - Monmouth Hawks	71:67 ✺
04.12.24	Lehigh Mountain Hawks - Monmouth Hawks	90:63 ✺
30.11.24	Seton Hall Pirates - Monmouth Hawks	51:63 ✺
23.11.24	Presbyterian Blue Hose - Monmouth Hawks	71:61 ✺
22.11.24	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks - Monmouth Hawks	72:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWLL
- Fairfield Stags basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.12.24	Fairfield Stags - Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	63:64 ✺
08.12.24	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Fairfield Stags	101:94 ✺
04.12.24	Fairfield Stags - Rider Broncs	78:75 ✺
01.12.24	Fairfield Stags - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	78:74 ✺
24.11.24	Vermont Catamounts - Fairfield Stags	66:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.02.22	Monmouth Hawks - Fairfield Stags	59:56
20.01.22	Fairfield Stags - Monmouth Hawks	58:61
10.03.21	Monmouth Hawks - Fairfield Stags	60:79
04.03.20	Monmouth Hawks - Fairfield Stags	69:45
04.02.20	Fairfield Stags - Monmouth Hawks	55:53
09.02.19	Fairfield Stags - Monmouth Hawks	49:61
17.01.19	Monmouth Hawks - Fairfield Stags	74:57

Monmouth Hawks - Fairfield Stags: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide