Match Info

Ligue 2 Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Gymnase Jean-Pierre Cherblanc (Montbrison)


	Montbrison		Toulouse

	1	2
	1.67	2.05
	1.83	1.9
	1.74	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 127.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montbrison
53.1%

Toulouse
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montbrison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montbrison than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Montbrison - Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:63

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bulabula M.	20. Cisse M.
14. Camara A. (C)	45. de Freitas M.
24. Saulnier Y.	32. Drame-Lo B.
25. Tsobgny R.	23. Mosqueda-Lewis K.
18. Yerbe M.	9. Traore A.
Substitutes
3. Clet R.	14. Coumes C.
11. Louveton E.	4. Klewinski A.
27. Mipoka A.	22. Mfonow M.
8. Stalars P.	1. Soulard J. (C)
22. Vanderklugt M.	12. Whittaker C.
Coaches
. Benintendi C.	. Noguera X.

Preview

Toulouse leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montbrison won 0.

Montbrison has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toulouse is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Toulouse will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montbrison won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 352:438. (average 58.7:73).

Including home matches between the teams, Montbrison won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 131:148. (average 65.5:74).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Montbrison Féminin
French Ligue 2 Basketball Women
11.05.25	Toulouse - Montbrison	61:57 ✺
30.04.25	Alençon - Montbrison	45:57 ✺
27.04.25	Montbrison - Alençon	60:57 ✺
19.04.25	Montbrison - Tronche Meylan	58:55 ✺
16.04.25	Tronche Meylan - Montbrison	76:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL
- Toulouse Metropole Basket
French Ligue 2 Basketball Women
11.05.25	Toulouse - Montbrison	61:57 ✺
30.04.25	USO Mondeville Basket - Toulouse	61:74 ✺
27.04.25	Toulouse - USO Mondeville Basket	73:62 ✺
16.04.25	Cavigal Nice Basket 06 - Toulouse	58:60 ✺
12.04.25	Toulouse - Cavigal Nice Basket 06	60:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2 Basketball Women
11.05.25	Toulouse - Montbrison	61:57
25.01.25	Toulouse - Montbrison	71:57
09.04.22	Montbrison - Toulouse	62:71
02.04.22	Toulouse - Montbrison	78:60
19.02.22	Montbrison - Toulouse	69:77
30.10.21	Toulouse - Montbrison	80:47

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