Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Morgan State Bears		Longwood Lancers

	1	2
	3.1	1.38
	2.95	1.37
	3.14	1.37
	3.05	1.34	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.23	1.34
	3.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.72)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morgan State Bears
30.4%

Longwood Lancers
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morgan State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Longwood Lancers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morgan State Bears than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longwood Lancers than the current prediction. (-4%)

Morgan State Bears - Longwood Lancers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:79

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Preview

Morgan State has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Longwood is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Morgan State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Longwood will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Morgan State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 248:330. (average 62:82.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Morgan State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 127:153. (average 63.5:76.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morgan State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.11.25	Morgan State Bears - Drexel Dragons	66:71 ✺
21.11.25	Old Dominion Monarchs - Morgan State Bears	88:56 ✺
18.11.25	Morgan State Bears - North Carolina A&T Aggies	73:79 ✺
15.11.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Morgan State Bears	86:72 ✺
11.11.25	Morgan State Bears - UMBC Retrievers	79:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Longwood Lancers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.11.25	American University Eagles - Longwood Lancers	92:66 ✺
29.11.25	Longwood Lancers - Maine Black Bears	65:61 ✺
28.11.25	Longwood Lancers - Siena Saints	63:70 ✺
23.11.25	Columbia Lions - Longwood Lancers	95:70 ✺
18.11.25	Longwood Lancers - Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks	82:83 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
09.11.24	Longwood Lancers - Morgan State Bears	84:66
03.12.23	Morgan State Bears - Longwood Lancers	54:88
11.12.21	Longwood Lancers - Morgan State Bears	93:55
07.12.19	Morgan State Bears - Longwood Lancers	73:65

Morgan State Bears - Longwood Lancers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide