Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Topolica Sport Hall (Bar)

Referee: Stojancevic G. (Bih)


	Mornar Bar		Mega Basket

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	3.7	1.23	Watch
	3.79	1.25
	3.67	1.26
	3.25	1.33
	3.53	1.27
	3.7	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.22)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
26.4%

Mega Basket
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mega Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Mornar Bar - Mega Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Runjic L.	88. Malovec T.
14. Smith J.	6. Markovic B.
8. Buljevic L.	4. Jelavic A.
10. Jenkins B.	1. Kondic K.
11. Carter C.	10. Milijasevic I.
Substitutes
15. Bediako J.	34. Jovic F.
6. Cubic A.	8. Kroflic U.
26. Komnenovic V.	9. Macura S.
23. Pember D.	3. Miljenovic S.
88. Radetic L.	77. Petrovic M.
2. Rogic R.	12. Radanov A.
3. Thomasson N.	44. Tanaskovic D.
Coaches
. Pavicevic M.	. Barac M.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 0.

Mornar Bar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mega Basket is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Mornar Bar have a series of guest games.

In this match Mega Basket is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1415:1517 (average 78.6:84.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mornar Bar won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 729:757 (average 81:84.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Mornar Bar
Adriatic League
26.01.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Mornar Bar	114:72 ✺
20.01.25	Mornar Bar - Crvena Zvezda	69:110 ✺
12.01.25	KK Budućnost - Mornar Bar	110:79 ✺
30.12.24	Igokea - Mornar Bar	101:97 OT ✺
27.12.24	KK Split - Mornar Bar	87:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
27.01.25	Mega Basket - Dubai	66:95 ✺
19.01.25	FMP Beograd - Mega Basket	89:87 ✺
12.01.25	Mega Basket - Krka	87:94 ✺
06.01.25	Mega Basket - Partizan Belgrade	90:100 OT ✺
28.12.24	Studentski Centar - Mega Basket	77:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
13.10.24	Mega Basket - Mornar Bar	84:59
11.02.24	Mega Basket - Mornar Bar	101:87
12.11.23	Mornar Bar - Mega Basket	65:99
06.03.23	Mega Basket - Mornar Bar	89:78
20.11.22	Mornar Bar - Mega Basket	85:101
20.03.22	Mega Basket - Mornar Bar	70:83
04.12.21	Mornar Bar - Mega Basket	79:75

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