Match Info

SPAIN: Primera FEB - Round 22

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Pabellón Alameda (Sevilla)


	Morón		Estela

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.27	1.63
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.89)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morón
41.4%

Estela
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morón's form might have worsened.

Estela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morón than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estela than the current prediction. (-5%)

Morón - Estela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Garcia R.	35. Belemene-Dzabatou R.
7. Jimenez J.	7. Bulic M.
4. M‘Madi M.	32. Johnson R.
22. Norris A.	34. Kieli G. K.
14. Villen I.	5. Littleson S.
Substitutes
15. Badji P.	0. Atencia H.
27. Burgos A.	15. Bercy K.
16. Da Silva V.	1. Fernandez P.
2. Kouadio L.	9. Martinez G.
18. Rubio D.	10. Vega J.
9. Santana F.	3. Voytso V.

Preview

Morón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Estela is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Estela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Morón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 233:248 (average 77.7:82.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Morón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 78:79

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Morón
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
16.02.25	Menorca - Morón	70:58 ✺
12.02.25	Morón - Zamora	68:84 ✺
08.02.25	San Pablo Burgos - Morón	101:71 ✺
01.02.25	Morón - Gipuzkoa Basket	74:81 ✺
18.01.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Morón	86:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Estela
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
15.02.25	Estela - Castelló	96:76 ✺
11.02.25	Real Betis - Estela	88:77 ✺
31.01.25	Burgos - Estela	90:89 ✺
18.01.25	Estela - Palencia	59:83 ✺
12.01.25	Cartagena - Estela	87:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
15.11.24	Estela - Morón	85:81
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
23.03.22	Morón - Estela	78:79
22.09.19	Estela - Morón	84:74

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