Match Info

LBP - Apertura

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Toto Hernandez Coliseum (Cúcuta)


	Motilones del Norte		Sabios de Manizales

	1	2
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.54	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.75)	2.27 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motilones del Norte
59.7%

Sabios de Manizales
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motilones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motilones del Norte's performance.

Sabios de Manizales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sabios de Manizales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motilones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabios de Manizales than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Martinez K.	6. Blanco D.
5. McConico Q.	0. De La Cruz B.
27. Mclloyd Phillips J.	14. Perez J.
25. Venner D.	5. Salazar J.
2. Williams E. (C)	7. Zapata J. (C)
Substitutes
28. Altamiranda D.	12. Ayala J.
3. Ayarza J.	20. Duncan A.
1. Cabeza W.	53. Fernandez M.
9. De Luque J.	10. Morales C.
6. de Luque S.	1. Murillo F.
23. Viveros S.	23. Price S.
	4. Salazar A.
Coaches
. Avila G.	. Osorio G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motilones del Norte won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Sabios has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Motilones del Norte won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1286:1154. (average 80.4:72.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Motilones del Norte won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 677:583. (average 84.6:72.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motilones del Norte
Colombian LBP Basketball
10.05.26	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	89:94 ✺
07.05.26	Motilones del Norte - Caribbean Storm Islands	103:96 ✺
06.05.26	Motilones del Norte - Caribbean Storm Islands	80:71 ✺
29.04.26	Toros del Valle - Motilones del Norte	86:56 ✺
28.04.26	Toros del Valle - Motilones del Norte	98:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWWLL
- Sabios de Manizales
Colombian LBP Basketball
10.05.26	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	89:94 ✺
07.05.26	Sabios de Manizales - Caimanes del Llano	100:87 ✺
06.05.26	Sabios de Manizales - Caimanes del Llano	82:92 ✺
02.05.26	Sabios de Manizales - Cimarrones del Chocó	60:51 ✺
01.05.26	Sabios de Manizales - Cimarrones del Chocó	52:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
10.05.26	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	89:94
17.11.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	65:79
16.11.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	76:75
15.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	70:57
31.10.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	80:53
30.10.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	77:63
19.06.25	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	91:85 OT

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