Match Info

LBP - Clausura

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Toto Hernandez Coliseum (Cúcuta)


	Motilones del Norte		Toros del Valle

	1	2
			Watch
	2.62	1.36
	3.04	1.28
	2.04	1.65	Watch
	2.95	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.04)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motilones del Norte
34.7%

Toros del Valle
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motilones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motilones del Norte's form might have worsened.

Toros del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toros del Valle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motilones del Norte than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motilones del Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros del Valle than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toros del Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Abad R.	1. Armstrong T.
15. Carmona A.	9. Minota A.
2. Colome Y.	59. Montano H.
9. Morales F. (C)	5. Salazar L. (C)
23. Price S.	45. Solis C.
Substitutes
4. Barco J.	21. Evans D.
6. Cabeza W.	7. Mojica S.
13. Cordoba J.	33. Quinones K.
63. Lizcano J.	8. Ruiz M.
21. Marcano S.	2. Salazar M.
11. Rodriguez J.	3. Zambrano M.
Coaches
. Ortega R.	. Fitz-Gonzalez B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motilones del Norte won 5.

Motilones del Norte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toros del Valle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Motilones del Norte won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 784:708. (average 87.1:78.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Motilones del Norte won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 449:398. (average 89.8:79.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motilones del Norte
Colombian LBP Basketball
21.10.25	Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle	65:58 ✺
16.10.25	Caimanes del Llano - Motilones del Norte	78:65 ✺
15.10.25	Caimanes del Llano - Motilones del Norte	73:70 ✺
Basketball South American League
11.10.25	Motilones del Norte - Vasco da Gama	29:70 ✺
10.10.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Motilones del Norte	92:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL
- Toros del Valle
Colombian LBP Basketball
21.10.25	Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle	65:58 ✺
18.10.25	Toros del Valle - Cimarrones del Chocó	118:85 ✺
17.10.25	Toros del Valle - Cimarrones del Chocó	76:45 ✺
14.10.25	Sabios de Manizales - Toros del Valle	70:84 ✺
13.10.25	Sabios de Manizales - Toros del Valle	77:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
21.10.25	Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle	65:58
30.11.24	Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle	90:87
29.11.24	Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle	117:88
06.10.24	Toros del Valle - Motilones del Norte	66:82
05.10.24	Toros del Valle - Motilones del Norte	72:84
05.06.24	Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle	81:78
04.06.24	Motilones del Norte - Toros del Valle	96:87

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