Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers		UMBC Retrievers

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Mount St. Marys Mountaineers
45.8%

UMBC Retrievers
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mount St. Marys Mountaineers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

UMBC Retrievers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount St. Marys Mountaineers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMBC Retrievers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:71

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In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Mount St. Mary's could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UMBC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 84-90.

Including matches at home between the teams UMBC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mount St. Marys Mountaineers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.12.21	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Morgan State Bears	74:60 ✺
11.12.21	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - American University Eagles	66:72 OT (61:61) ✺
07.12.21	Santa Clara Broncos - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	88:77 ✺
04.12.21	Loyola MD Greyhounds - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	61:55 ✺
30.11.21	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Howard Bison	72:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLW
- UMBC Retrievers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
16.12.21	UMBC Retrievers - UNC Greensboro Spartans	51:62 ✺
13.12.21	Princeton Tigers - UMBC Retrievers	89:77 ✺
08.12.21	Georgetown Hoyas - UMBC Retrievers	100:71 ✺
05.12.21	Delaware Fightin Blue Hens - UMBC Retrievers	70:60 ✺
01.12.21	UMBC Retrievers - Columbia Lions	98:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

NCAA College Basketball
11.12.20	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - UMBC Retrievers	Canceled
17.11.13	UMBC Retrievers - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	90:84 OT (75:75)

Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - UMBC Retrievers