Match Info

NCAA

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Murray State Racers		Belmont Bruins

	1	2
	1.91	1.82
	1.95	1.78
	2.02	1.84
	1.94	1.79	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.73
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murray State Racers
47.7%

Belmont Bruins
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murray State Racers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Belmont Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murray State Racers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belmont Bruins than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belmont Bruins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belmont (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murray State won 0.

Murray State has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Belmont is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Murray State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1429:1483. (average 71.5:74.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Murray State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 656:661. (average 72.9:73.4).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Murray State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Indiana State Sycamores - Murray State Racers	72:74 ✺
09.02.26	Murray State Racers - Northern Iowa Panthers	60:89 ✺
06.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Murray State Racers	81:91 ✺
03.02.26	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	81:74 ✺
31.01.26	Belmont Bruins - Murray State Racers	103:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Belmont Bruins basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Belmont Bruins - Northern Iowa Panthers	91:86 ✺
09.02.26	Bradley Braves - Belmont Bruins	95:84 OT ✺
06.02.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Belmont Bruins	62:68 ✺
03.02.26	Belmont Bruins - Drake Bulldogs	103:90 ✺
31.01.26	Belmont Bruins - Murray State Racers	103:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Belmont Bruins - Murray State Racers	103:86
02.03.25	Belmont Bruins - Murray State Racers	70:60
25.01.25	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	77:95
28.02.24	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	61:83
07.02.24	Belmont Bruins - Murray State Racers	69:64
01.02.23	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	83:82
17.01.23	Belmont Bruins - Murray State Racers	80:65

Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins