Match Info

B.League

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)


	Nagasaki Velca		Diamond Dolphins Nagoya

	1	2
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.76	2.08
	1.74	1.93	Watch
	1.69	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	2 (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagasaki Velca
53.7%

Diamond Dolphins Nagoya
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagasaki Velca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Diamond Dolphins Nagoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diamond Dolphins Nagoya than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagasaki (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Baba Y.	11. Henry A.
7. Brantley J.	30. Imamura K. (C)
11. Kumagai K.	34. Richardson K.
5. Lee Hyun-Jung	2. Saito T.
25. Mitchell A.	15. Williams A.
Substitutes
13. Hoshikawa K.	43. Eatherton S.
14. Johnson S.	8. Harimoto T.
4. Karimata M. (C)	23. Holtz J.
99. Kawamata K.	7. Imanishi Y.
1. Matsumoto K.	3. Kato T.
6. Morita Y.	5. Murphy I.
17. Yamaguchi H.	12. Nakahigashi T.
	4. Ozawa H.
Coaches
. Maor M.	. Shawn D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagasaki won 2.

Nagasaki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diamond Dolphins is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 609:617. (average 87:88.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 512:516. (average 85.3:86).

Last Results with these Odds

Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.09%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
08.11.25	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	91:96 ✺
05.11.25	Nagasaki Velca - Osaka Evessa	100:96 ✺
02.11.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Nagasaki Velca	79:99 ✺
01.11.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Nagasaki Velca	71:93 ✺
29.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - Kyoto Hannaryz	91:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW
- Mitsubishi Diamond Dolphins Nagoya
Japan B League Premier
08.11.25	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	91:96 ✺
05.11.25	Akita Northern Happinets - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	58:88 ✺
02.11.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Hiroshima Dragonflies	100:69 ✺
01.11.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Hiroshima Dragonflies	75:64 ✺
29.10.25	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	76:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
08.11.25	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	91:96
03.11.24	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	74:83
02.11.24	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	87:68
06.03.24	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	94:82
04.02.24	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	90:96 OT
03.02.24	Nagasaki Velca - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	76:91
08.11.23	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Nagasaki Velca	101:97

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