Match Info

B.League

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)


	Nagasaki Velca		Saga Ballooners

	1	2
	1.43	2.65
	1.37	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3.15
	1.49	2.38	Watch
	1.39	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.56)	2.75 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagasaki Velca
66.2%

Saga Ballooners
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagasaki Velca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nagasaki Velca's performance.

Saga Ballooners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saga Ballooners might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagasaki (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Nagasaki (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Nagasaki (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagasaki (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Baba Y.	13. Abe R.
7. Brantley J.	23. Dudzinski D.
11. Kumagai K.	22. Groves T.
5. Lee Hyun-Jung	14. Kanamaru K.
25. Mitchell A.	25. Tsunoda T.
Substitutes
13. Hoshikawa K.	55. Harrellson J.
14. Johnson S.	7. Hashimoto K.
21. Kanno S.	34. Inoue R. (C)
4. Karimata M. (C)	20. Kishida A.
6. Morita Y.	18. Uchio S.
17. Yamaguchi H.	5. Yamashita Y.
Coaches
. Maor M.	. Miyanaga Y.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagasaki won 3.

Nagasaki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nagasaki won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 685:684. (average 76.1:76).

Including home matches between the teams, Nagasaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 215:225. (average 71.7:75).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
10.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	76:67 ✺
05.10.25	Altiri Chiba - Nagasaki Velca	68:102 ✺
04.10.25	Altiri Chiba - Nagasaki Velca	97:94 ✺
04.05.25	Osaka Evessa - Nagasaki Velca	76:85 ✺
03.05.25	Osaka Evessa - Nagasaki Velca	72:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Saga Ballooners
Japan B League Premier
10.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	76:67 ✺
05.10.25	Saga Ballooners - Shiga Lakestars	97:91 ✺
04.10.25	Saga Ballooners - Shiga Lakestars	92:68 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Saga Ballooners	48:72 ✺
Japan B League Premier
04.05.25	Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa - Saga Ballooners	85:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
10.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	76:67
23.04.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	68:78
05.03.25	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	86:92
02.12.24	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	78:93
01.12.24	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	80:51
14.04.24	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	73:80
13.04.24	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	61:63

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