Match Info

Lega A - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Referee: Catani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Italy	LBA TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4


	Napoli Basket		Basket Trento

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.7	2.17
	1.7	2.1
	1.75	2.1
	1.75	2.12	Watch
	1.72	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 (1.72)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
54.7%

Basket Trento
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Basket Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Napoli Basket - Basket Trento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Bolton R.	22. Aldridge P.
5. El Amin I.	7. Cheickh Niang P.
10. Faggian L.	8. Jogela M.
35. Tote L.	21. Mawugbe S.
0. Whaley I.	1. Steward D.
Substitutes
30. Caruso G.	11. Airhienbuwa T.
25. Doyle M.	99. Battle K.
32. Esposito E.	26. Bayehe J.
33. Ferrara V.	10. Forray A.
1. Flagg S.	68. Hassan P.
14. Gloria M.	23. Jakimovski A.
3. Mitrou-Long N.	3. Jones D.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Cancellieri M.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 1.

Napoli Basket has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trento's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 845:893. (average 84.5:89.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli Basket won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 323:356. (average 80.8:89).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Basket Napoli	3	3	0	292:248	6
4	Trento	3	2	1	247:237	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.04.26	Olimpia Milano - Napoli Basket	125:97 ✺
12.04.26	Napoli Basket - Treviso Basket	88:71 ✺
04.04.26	Basket Brescia - Napoli Basket	100:85 ✺
29.03.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	88:81 ✺
22.03.26	Napoli Basket - Varese	104:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Basket Trento
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.04.26	Basket Trento - Reggiana	82:90 ✺
12.04.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	103:84 ✺
29.03.26	Venezia - Basket Trento	87:106 ✺
22.03.26	Basket Trento - Basket Brescia	77:85 ✺
Eurocup
18.03.26	Beşiktaş - Basket Trento	77:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
09.11.25	Basket Trento - Napoli Basket	87:93
10.05.25	Napoli Basket - Basket Trento	89:114
01.12.24	Basket Trento - Napoli Basket	90:83
21.04.24	Napoli Basket - Basket Trento	93:103
23.12.23	Basket Trento - Napoli Basket	101:94
26.03.23	Basket Trento - Napoli Basket	79:87
10.12.22	Napoli Basket - Basket Trento	69:58

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