Match Info

Lega A - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaRadi (Cremona)

Referee: Catani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Vanoli-Braga Cremona		Napoli Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.88
	1.93	1.83
	1.91	1.91
	1.99	1.85	Watch
	1.63	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.63)	1.9 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanoli-Braga Cremona
50.2%

Napoli Basket
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanoli-Braga Cremona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vanoli-Braga Cremona's form might have worsened.

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Napoli Basket's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanoli-Braga Cremona than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Vanoli Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cremona will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Napoli Basket will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli Basket: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Anigbogu I.	45. Bolton R.
42. Durham A.	5. El Amin I.
8. Grant S.	1. Flagg S.
46. Ndiaye O.	35. Tote L.
2. Willis P.	0. Whaley I.
Substitutes
21. Battle R.	30. Caruso G.
23. Burns C.	25. Doyle M.
7. Casarin D.	10. Faggian L.
12. Galli F.	33. Ferrara V.
17. Udom M.	22. Gentile S.
16. Veronesi G.	14. Gloria M.
	11. Marshall N.
Coaches
. Brotto P.	. Magro A.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremona won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cremona won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 601:615. (average 85.9:87.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 280:261. (average 93.3:87).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Basket Napoli	2	2	0	193:168	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanoli-Braga Cremona
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.03.26	Treviso Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	97:94 ✺
15.03.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Basket Brescia	78:79 ✺
08.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:78 ✺
15.02.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Olimpia Milano	67:86 ✺
07.02.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Cantù	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.03.26	Napoli Basket - Varese	104:75 ✺
15.03.26	Cantù - Napoli Basket	94:77 ✺
07.03.26	Napoli Basket - Virtus Bologna	71:90 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
19.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Napoli Basket	83:73 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.02.26	Trieste - Napoli Basket	110:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	102:76
08.03.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	94:85
19.10.24	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	81:87
11.02.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	90:83
26.11.23	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	80:70
09.03.22	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	96:93 OT (86:86)
05.12.21	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	91:88

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