The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli Basket 52.6%
Olimpia Milano 47.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.4%
56.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
60%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli Basket's performance.
Olimpia Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Milano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli Basket that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Milano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Napoli Basket - Olimpia Milano Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli Basket (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Napoli Basket will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:86
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Dowtin J.
2. Cole R.J.
10. Faggian L.
22. Hall D.
37. Ramsey J.
24. Mathews G.
1. Seljaas Z.
25. Peters A.
25. Tarczewski K.
5. Wright M.
Substitutes
22. Brown M.
45. Akele N.
30. Caruso G.
10. Bolmaro L.
11. Petrucelli J.
6. Diop O.
12. Sankare A.
21. Flaccadori D.
0. Spissu M.
17. Ricci G.
35. Tote L.
13. Thompson D.
14. White J.
7. Tonut S.
Coaches
. Repesa J.
. Poeta G.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 1.
Napoli Basket has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Olimpia Milano has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Napoli Basket could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Napoli Basket in today's match, at odds of 2.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Napoli Basket has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 876:936 (averaging 79.6:85.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Napoli Basket against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 393:386 goals (averaging 78.6:77.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
2
Basket Napoli
5
4
1
466:436
8
9
Olimpia Milano
5
3
2
453:411
6
Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now
Basket Napoli: 3.96%
Last Results with these Odds
Napoli Basket - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.44%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Olimpia Milano - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.