Match Info

Lega A - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Referee: Dionisi A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Napoli Basket		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.28
	1.58	2.31
	1.57	2.45
	1.61	2.39	Watch
	1.63	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	2.27 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
58.5%

Varese
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Napoli Basket - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Napoli Basket will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Varese will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5, OT - Varese (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flagg S.	2. Alviti D.
0. Whaley I.	8. Nkamhoua O.
35. Tote L.	15. Renfro N.
5. El Amin I.	4. Moore T.
45. Bolton R.	11. Iroegbu I.
Substitutes
30. Caruso G.	55. Freeman A.
10. Faggian L.	34. Ladurner M.
22. Gentile S.	13. Librizzi M.
14. Gloria M.	7. N'Guessan E.
11. Marshall N.	99. Somaini S.
25. Simms A.	1. Stewart C.
18. Treier K.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 1.

Napoli Basket has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Varese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Varese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 773:857. (average 85.9:95.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli Basket won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 351:376. (average 87.8:94).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Basket Napoli	2	2	0	193:168	4
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.03.26	Cantù - Napoli Basket	94:77 ✺
07.03.26	Napoli Basket - Virtus Bologna	71:90 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
19.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Napoli Basket	83:73 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.02.26	Trieste - Napoli Basket	110:84 ✺
08.02.26	Napoli Basket - Venezia	64:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.03.26	Varese - Treviso Basket	91:86 ✺
08.03.26	Udine - Varese	81:92 ✺
14.02.26	Varese - Basket Brescia	98:96 ✺
08.02.26	Basket Trento - Varese	84:78 ✺
01.02.26	Varese - Reggiana	61:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
03.01.26	Varese - Napoli Basket	84:80
12.04.25	Napoli Basket - Varese	87:97
28.12.24	Varese - Napoli Basket	89:86
07.04.24	Varese - Napoli Basket	113:79
11.11.23	Napoli Basket - Varese	97:96
05.03.23	Napoli Basket - Varese	93:101
15.01.23	Varese - Napoli Basket	106:79

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