The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naviera Ulloa Castro 26.6%
Ancud 73.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
58.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naviera Ulloa Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naviera Ulloa Castro's form might have worsened.
Ancud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancud's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naviera Ulloa Castro than the current prediction. (+22.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naviera Ulloa Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancud than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ancud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naviera Ulloa Castro - Ancud Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:88
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Alvarez N.
6. Ezeagu B.
21. Aragon H.
9. Morales F.
11. Barbieri A.
23. Moreno L.
30. Farrar N.
3. Scott S.
1. Ugalde M.
11. Vera R.
Substitutes
25. Armijo R.
20. Gomez H.
9. Caceres I.
99. Guzman S.
26. Crespi E.
4. Lopez A.
55. Gonzalez J.
13. Munoz N.
10. Niklistchek P.
8. Rojas L.
28. Ortega K.
12. Vega P.
6. Sepulveda J.
Preview
Naviera Ulloa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ancud is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Ancud is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naviera Ulloa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 248:260. (average 82.7:86.7).
Including home match between the teams, Naviera Ulloa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 87:83.