Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Baku Sports Palace (Baku)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIBA TV


	Neftçi		Pärnu

	1	2
	1.25	3.40
	1.29	3.20
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.28	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.55)	3.33 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftçi
72.4%

Pärnu
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftçi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftçi's performance.

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neftçi - Pärnu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neftçi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftçi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Hawkins E.	15. Dubults K.
24. Hicks Z.	5. Eelmae H.
22. Howard R.	20. Heinonen J.
1. Pryce S.	8. Kirves M.
9. Starovlah M.	55. Sidorov I.
Substitutes
25. Aghayev A.	3. Hermet R.
11. Akbarov J.	1. Jones J. C.
15. Garayev R.	16. Lootus K.
14. Hajizada T.	7. Roman J.
4. Nasirov N.	10. Tsartsidze T.
7. Stepanovic A.
8. Turgut U.
Coaches
. Vasileiadis K.	. Evart K.

Preview

First leg.

Pärnu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Neftçi for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftçi İK Basket
Club Friendly Basketball
10.09.26	Petkim Spor - Neftçi	81:52 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	Neftçi - Absheron Lions	86:95 ✺
12.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Neftçi	88:82 ✺
05.11.25	Neftçi - Trefl Sopot	92:87 ✺
29.10.25	Absheron Lions - Neftçi	86:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLLWW
- KK Pärnu
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.26	Keila Basket - Pärnu	68:80 ✺
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
17.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	97:77 ✺
15.05.26	Pärnu - TalTech	72:79 ✺
13.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	88:85 OT ✺
09.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	76:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

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