Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)


	Pärnu		TalTech

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.63	Watch
	2.05	1.6
	2.02	1.64	Watch
	1.84	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pärnu
45.4%

TalTech
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

TalTech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TalTech than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TalTech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pärnu - TalTech Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pärnu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pärnu will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:82

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Eelmae H.	2. Jurkatamm T.
1. Harris D.	6. Metsalu O. (C)
14. Ilves G.	1. Post S.
16. Lootus K.	10. Sutt S.
12. Mohamed Y.	5. Valb K.
Substitutes
2. Aav S. (C)	21. Arop B. B.
33. Allik W.	11. Kitsing K.
10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.	19. Niits T.
24. Sonntak K.	15. Pehka R.
0. Vaikmae T.	17. Sunelik I.
	22. Suurorg O.
	0. Tirs H.
Coaches
. Evart K.	. Varrak A.

Preview

Tal Tech leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 2.

Pärnu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, TalTech has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1646:1598. (average 82.3:79.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 747:684. (average 83:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Pärnu
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
13.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	88:85 OT ✺
09.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	76:72 ✺
07.05.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	63:70 ✺
04.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	82:75 ✺
30.04.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	101:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLLW
- TalTech Basketball
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
13.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	88:85 OT ✺
08.05.26	TalTech - Tallinna Kalev	82:95 ✺
05.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	77:78 ✺
01.05.26	TalTech - Tallinna Kalev	72:80 ✺
28.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	79:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
13.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	88:85 OT
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.01.26	Pärnu - TalTech	76:83
15.11.25	TalTech - Pärnu	86:78
17.01.25	Pärnu - TalTech	77:74
07.12.24	TalTech - Pärnu	71:94
03.02.24	Pärnu - TalTech	92:70
23.09.23	TalTech - Pärnu	75:77

Upcoming Matches