Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 6

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Baku Sports Palace (Baku)

Referee: Faur A. (Rou)


	Neftçi		Absheron Lions

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.2
	1.38	3.01
	1.40	2.59	Watch
	1.29	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.06 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftçi
69.4%

Absheron Lions
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftçi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Absheron Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftçi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Absheron Lions than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neftçi - Absheron Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Neftçi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftçi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Bey J.	22. Chidom A.
11. Green D.	0. Frazier J.
13. Perkovic T.	5. Jackson D.
24. Polite E.	17. Orelik G.
30. Smith G.	7. Shaw J.
Substitutes
25. Aghayev A.	2. Abdullayev I.
4. Alakbarov F.	25. Allen-Eikens D.
12. Hajizada T.	77. Donat S.
14. Hamzayev A. (C)	11. Ibrahimov A.
33. Kenic S.	8. Mammadli N.
6. Mammadov A.	1. McAlpine A. (C)
44. Nasirov N.	9. Novruzlu T.
Coaches
. Stepanovski V.	. Toker E.

Preview

In recent matches, Neftçi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Absheron is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Neftçi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Neftçi will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neftçi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 104:86.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftçi İK Basket
FIBA Europe Cup
12.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Neftçi	88:82 ✺
05.11.25	Neftçi - Trefl Sopot	92:87 ✺
29.10.25	Absheron Lions - Neftçi	86:104 ✺
21.10.25	Neftçi - Tallinna Kalev	95:84 OT ✺
15.10.25	Trefl Sopot - Neftçi	92:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LWWWL
- Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup
12.11.25	Trefl Sopot - Absheron Lions	98:78 ✺
05.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Absheron Lions	71:101 ✺
29.10.25	Absheron Lions - Neftçi	86:104 ✺
22.10.25	Absheron Lions - Trefl Sopot	96:99 ✺
16.10.25	Absheron Lions - Tallinna Kalev	85:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Absheron Lions - Neftçi	86:104

Neftçi - Absheron Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide