Match Info

NBL

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Trafalgar Centre (Nelson)


	Nelson Giants		Taranaki Airs

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.42	Watch
	1.42	2.66
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.42	2.66
	1.54	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	2.49 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nelson Giants
62.7%

Taranaki Airs
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nelson Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Taranaki Airs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Judd L.	0. Cook A.
77. Luukkonen E.	10. Green X.
0. McNaught A.	3. Jones M.
5. Perrott-Hunt K.	2. Samuel T.
18. Smith-Milner T.	5. Vea L.
Substitutes
2. Adams C.	32. Bailey Q. (C)
10. Dempster S. (C)	8. Cooper J.
1. Inwood E.	22. Cooper J.
35. Matthews J.	00. Pearn Z.
11. Nickel J.	4. Tamatea J.
25. Sinclair J.	6. Tuhaka L.
7. Varricchio R.	11. Tuuta R.
Coaches
. Fitchett M.	. White J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 1.

Taranaki Airs has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Taranaki Airs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nelson Giants could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1726:1742. (average 86.3:87.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nelson Giants won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 773:695. (average 96.6:86.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nelson Giants
New Zealand NBL
25.04.26	Nelson Giants - Wellington Saints	97:95 ✺
15.04.26	Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants	86:77 ✺
12.04.26	Nelson Giants - Canterbury Rams	85:86 ✺
03.07.25	Nelson Giants - Southland Sharks	87:91 ✺
25.06.25	Nelson Giants - Auckland Tuatara	104:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLLW
- Taranaki Airs
New Zealand NBL
30.04.26	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	111:89 ✺
26.04.26	Taranaki Airs - Franklin Bulls	91:90 ✺
18.04.26	Tauranga Whai - Taranaki Airs	87:62 ✺
14.04.26	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:84 ✺
09.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	85:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
18.06.25	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	71:82
04.04.25	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	93:108
17.07.24	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	87:74
14.07.24	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	106:90
28.04.24	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	97:116
13.07.23	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	108:82
06.05.23	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	117:83

Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide