Match Info

NBL

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: TSB Stadium (New Plymouth)


	Taranaki Airs		Hawkes Bay Hawks

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.25
	1.55	2.4
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.33)	2.3 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranaki Airs
59.8%

Hawkes Bay Hawks
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranaki Airs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taranaki Airs's form might have worsened.

Hawkes Bay Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawkes Bay Hawks's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cook A.	4. Adnam K.
10. Green X.	28. Burton A. (C)
3. Jones M.	15. Fergusson T.
2. Samuel T.	11. Grida D.
5. Vea L.	22. Rasmussen K.
Substitutes
32. Bailey Q. (C)	12. Allan I.
7. Carr H.	17. Bush C.
8. Cooper J.	2. Casson B.
00. Pearn Z.	1. Costley K.
6. Tuhaka L.	24. Eagle E.
11. Tuuta R.	3. Kara K.
9. Zavier A.	7. Murphy J.
Coaches
. White J.	. Lopez W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 4.

Taranaki Airs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Taranaki Airs is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1760:1823. (average 88:91.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki Airs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 914:884. (average 91.4:88.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranaki Airs
New Zealand NBL
09.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	85:91 ✺
09.07.25	Taranaki Airs - Tauranga Whai	67:83 ✺
04.07.25	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	93:83 ✺
28.06.25	Canterbury Rams - Taranaki Airs	89:98 ✺
21.06.25	Franklin Bulls - Taranaki Airs	96:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL
- Hawkes Bay Hawks
New Zealand NBL
11.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Tauranga Whai	95:101 ✺
05.07.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Auckland Tuatara	67:96 ✺
28.06.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Wellington Saints	81:99 ✺
20.06.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Southland Sharks	76:92 ✺
14.06.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	72:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
14.06.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	72:84
28.03.25	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	114:88
26.06.24	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	93:109
22.05.24	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	103:76
11.05.23	Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:102
15.04.23	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	93:95
18.06.22	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	100:89

Taranaki Airs - Hawkes Bay Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide