Match Info

LKL

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		BC Wolves

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.47	1.49
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.04)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
40.6%

BC Wolves
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

BC Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Neptūnas - BC Wolves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolves (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Buie D.	4. Brooks G.
13. Gailius D. (C)	1. Cowan Jr. A.
20. Hesson M.	10. Miniotas R. (C)
10. Johnson N.	44. Taylor J.
9. Pacevicius M.	15. Thurman T.
Substitutes
21. Berucka A.	12. Andrews A.
8. Girdziunas M.	22. Blazevic M.
4. Janavicius Z.	98. Kulboka A.
1. Kneizys R.	11. Marcinkevicius J.
22. Pavelka T.	13. Zemaitis K.
24. Waterman Z.
Coaches
. Ginevicius V.	. Magro A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 3.

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wolves is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1155:1219 (average 82.5:87.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 682:680 (average 85.3:85).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
12.04.25	Neptūnas - Rytas	92:82 ✺
05.04.25	Neptūnas - Jonava	97:98 ✺
30.03.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	67:80 ✺
22.03.25	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	91:78 ✺
15.03.25	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	77:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW
- BC Wolves
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
12.04.25	BC Wolves - Nevėžis Kedainiai	94:99 ✺
06.04.25	Rytas - BC Wolves	92:88 ✺
30.03.25	Lietkabelis - BC Wolves	78:64 ✺
26.03.25	Šiauliai - BC Wolves	110:89 ✺
23.03.25	BC Wolves - Juventus Utena	87:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
15.02.25	Neptūnas - BC Wolves	87:81
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
07.12.24	BC Wolves - Neptūnas	102:86
12.10.24	Neptūnas - BC Wolves	89:74
18.05.24	BC Wolves - Neptūnas	91:80
15.05.24	Neptūnas - BC Wolves	95:76
13.05.24	BC Wolves - Neptūnas	91:81
01.05.24	Neptūnas - BC Wolves	85:86

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