Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday


	Neptūnas		Kauno Žalgiris-2

	1	2
	2.95	1.35
	3.3	1.35
	3.3	1.32
	3.25	1.33
	2.93	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
29.9%

Kauno Žalgiris-2
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:81

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 0.

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Žalgiris-2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Žalgiris-2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Neptūnas have a series of guest games.

In this match Žalgiris-2 is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 701-817.

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 349-395.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
03.12.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Neptūnas	83:86 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
02.12.23	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Neptūnas	85:83 ✺
30.11.23	Neptūnas - Šilutė	76:68 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.11.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	76:88 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
25.11.23	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas	88:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWL
- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
02.12.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Delikatesas Joniškis	82:72 ✺
30.11.23	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kauno Žalgiris-2	68:79 ✺
25.11.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Olimpas Palanga	62:88 ✺
23.11.23	Rytas 2 - Kauno Žalgiris-2	69:96 ✺
18.11.23	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	61:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
21.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	85:72
05.01.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	78:58
03.11.22	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	67:77
25.11.21	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	74:64
28.10.21	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	66:91
07.01.21	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	59:75
29.10.20	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	92:78

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