Match Info

NKL - Round 3

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla (Ukmerge)


	Vilniaus Stekas		Kauno Žalgiris-2

	1	2
	2.85	1.36
	2.95	1.32	Watch
	3.15	1.3
	2.92	1.34	Watch
	2.82	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (2.97)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilniaus Stekas
31.2%

Kauno Žalgiris-2
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Adomavicius A.	12. Bulanovas M. (C)
33. Bucas D.	55. Grunkis D.
13. Gecevicius M.	9. Jakstonis D.
9. Seskus E.	7. Lavrinovic T.
8. Simeus W.	3. Urbonavicius D.
Substitutes
26. Morkunas D.	2. Adamson S.
12. Tarvydas D. (C)	22. Krivas G.
10. Troska T.	91. Kukta J.
1. Zuklys I.	66. Mistautas N.
	1. Sabeckas K.
	8. Steckis E.
Coaches
. Stankevicius T.	. Vecvagars K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilniaus Stekas won 2.

Vilniaus Stekas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Žalgiris-2 for this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Vilniaus Stekas has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 575:647 (averaging 71.9:80.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vilniaus Stekas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 273:301 goals (averaging 68.3:75.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	3	2	1	302:295	2
10	Ukmerges Stekas	3	1	2	269:257	1

Last Results with these Odds

Vilniaus Stekas - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
03.10.26	Šilutė - Vilniaus Stekas	80:72 ✺
01.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Vytis Šakiai	89:90 AET ✺
14.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	103:107 OT ✺
12.03.26	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	101:92 ✺
07.03.26	Olimpas Palanga - Vilniaus Stekas	94:97 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLLW
- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
01.10.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	107:104 ✺
28.09.26	Alytaus Patriotai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	83:108
07.04.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	89:71 ✺
03.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	75:79 ✺
01.04.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	93:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
03.01.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:71
30.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vilniaus Stekas	116:84
25.01.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vilniaus Stekas	82:75
03.10.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	81:71
09.01.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vilniaus Stekas	74:75
18.11.23	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	61:79
17.12.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vilniaus Stekas	74:68

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