Match Info

LKL - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Lietkabelis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.50	2.40
	1.60	2.24
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.60	2.25
	1.50	2.50	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)	2.29 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
59.3%

Lietkabelis
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lietkabelis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lietkabelis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Neptūnas - Lietkabelis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neptūnas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Neptūnas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Girdziunas M.	2. Bickauskis D.
6. Lomazs R.	77. Danusevicius P.
9. Pacevicius M. (C)	4. Furmanavicius J.
1. Tarolis D.	7. Kullamae K.
11. Velicka A.	22. Washington W.
Substitutes
21. Berucka A.	10. Lipkevicius V. (C)
0. Cleary H.	12. Maldunas G.
15. Klanjscek M.	1. Morris J.
2. Kneizys R.	6. Mutic L.
10. Kozys V.	44. Radicevic N.
13. Majauskas A.	5. Radzius N.
25. Silins K.	27. Zdanavicius T.
Coaches
. Petrauskas G.	. Canak N.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 2.

Neptūnas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lietkabelis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neptūnas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1616:1638. (average 80.8:81.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 896:918. (average 81.5:83.5).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.92% Lietkabelis: 2.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Neptunas	4	2	2	335:326	0.500
5	Lietkabelis	4	2	2	314:344	0.500

Last Results with these Odds

Neptūnas - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.56%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Lietkabelis - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.44%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.06.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	80:68 ✺
06.06.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	86:73 ✺
03.06.26	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	103:90 ✺
01.06.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	102:84 ✺
29.05.26	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	86:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Lietkabelis Panevezys
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.06.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	80:68 ✺
06.06.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	86:73 ✺
31.05.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Lietkabelis	103:93 ✺
28.05.26	Lietkabelis - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:95 ✺
26.05.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Lietkabelis	85:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.06.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	80:68
06.06.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	86:73
26.04.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	83:80
28.03.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	96:87 OT
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
22.02.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	73:94
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
24.01.26	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	97:87
20.09.25	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	84:96

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