Match Info

LKL

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	1	12.5
	1	14.5	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1	14.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1 (1)	13.83 ↑ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
93.3%

Mažeikiai
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.9%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Neptūnas - Mažeikiai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neptūnas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 103:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Berucka A.	22. Cizauskas V.
7. Buie D.	13. Jogminas J.
20. Hesson M.	7. Mineikis N.
10. Johnson N.	10. Urkis A.
9. Pacevicius M.	27. Zdanavicius T. (C)
Substitutes
13. Gailius D. (C)	90. Baltrusaitis T.
8. Girdziunas M.	17. Bartasius Z.
4. Janavicius Z.	21. Kasemets K.
22. Pavelka T.	77. Lesciauskas K.
11. Repsys M.	3. Pocevicius T.
24. Waterman Z.	30. Svazas M.
	0. Valunta S.
Coaches
. Ginevicius V.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 4.

Neptūnas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mažeikiai has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mažeikiai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neptūnas is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1709:1592. (average 85.5:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 906:793. (average 90.6:79.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.05.25	BC Wolves - Neptūnas	96:84 ✺
07.05.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	84:49 ✺
04.05.25	Neptūnas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	96:90 ✺
30.04.25	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	84:79 ✺
27.04.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	90:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLL
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.05.25	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Mažeikiai	109:80 ✺
06.05.25	Mažeikiai - Jonava	86:107 ✺
03.05.25	Mažeikiai - Juventus Utena	85:94 ✺
30.04.25	Šiauliai - Mažeikiai	122:96 ✺
26.04.25	Mažeikiai - Rytas	81:113 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.03.25	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	77:96
01.02.25	Neptūnas - Mažeikiai	99:63
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
06.11.24	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	70:91
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.10.24	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	107:96
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
09.10.24	Neptūnas - Mažeikiai	106:71
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.04.24	Neptūnas - Mažeikiai	91:89
17.12.23	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	70:68

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