Match Info

LKL

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Rytas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.47	Watch
	2.69	1.41
	2.44	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.55	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.74)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 186.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
36.4%

Rytas
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rytas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rytas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neptūnas - Rytas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Rytas (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rytas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:96

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cleary H.	9. Bruhnke K.
10. Kozys V.	8. Gudaitis A. (C)
6. Lomazs R.	77. Paliukenas M.
25. Silins K.	43. Sargiunas I.
11. Velicka A.	44. Speedy Smith
Substitutes
21. Berucka A.	24. Caroline J.
8. Girdziunas M.	10. Harding J.
15. Klanjscek M.	41. Lukosius S.
2. Kneizys R.	3. Marciulionis A.
13. Majauskas A.	21. Masiulis G.
9. Pacevicius M. (C)	16. Urbonas I.
1. Tarolis D.
Coaches
. Petrauskas G.	. Zibenas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 2.

Neptūnas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rytas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rytas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rytas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rytas is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1661:1775. (average 83.1:88.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 821:862. (average 82.1:86.2).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Neptunas	4	2	2	335:326	0.500
9	Rytas	1	0	1	102:105	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
26.04.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	83:80 ✺
23.04.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Neptūnas	82:110 ✺
19.04.26	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	98:83 ✺
11.04.26	Neptūnas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	87:67 ✺
06.04.26	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	95:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW
- BC Rytas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.04.26	Rytas - Šiauliai	102:72 ✺
25.04.26	Rytas - Juventus Utena	102:80 ✺
22.04.26	Rytas - Jonava	98:81 ✺
19.04.26	Rytas - Žalgiris Kaunas	70:75 ✺
12.04.26	Šiauliai - Rytas	107:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.02.26	Rytas - Neptūnas	100:95
31.01.26	Neptūnas - Rytas	95:87
18.10.25	Rytas - Neptūnas	97:93
24.04.25	Rytas - Neptūnas	103:85
12.04.25	Neptūnas - Rytas	92:82
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
18.01.25	Rytas - Neptūnas	77:90
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.01.25	Neptūnas - Rytas	76:94

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