Match Info
NKL - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 7 April 2026, TuesdayLocation: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)
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Neptūnas-Akvaservis |
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Kauno Žalgiris-2 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.6 |
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2.1 |
|
 |
1.64 |
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2.16 |
|
 |
1.74 |
|
1.95 |
 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
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2.05 |
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 |
1.72 |
|
1.98 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.05 ↑
(1.79) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 158.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Neptūnas-Akvaservis
55% | Kauno Žalgiris-2
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neptūnas-Akvaservis's performance.Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Žalgiris-2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas-Akvaservis that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris-2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Neptūnas Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
6.  Jonkus E. (C)
| 12. Bulanovas M. (C)
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77. Lesciauskas K.
| 8. Daubaris D.
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24. Metrikis K.
| 55. Grunkis D.
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12. Sakaitis R.
| 7. Rudaitis J.
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31. Zilius E.
| 3. Urbonavicius D.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Macijauskas M.
| 35.  Brnovic M.
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13. Maciulis R.
| 15. Cerneckis G.
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28. Remeikis D.
| 17. Lavrinovic T.
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11. Rinkevicius T.
| 4. Mikalauskas K.
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7. Sarakauskas S.
| 66. Mistautas N.
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39. Virkutis J.
| 10. Raupelis N.
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10. Zymantas A.
| 16. Stombergas I.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Gaidamavicius T.
| . Kondratavicius R.
|
Preview
Neptunas leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 3.Neptūnas-Akvaservis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Žalgiris-2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Žalgiris-2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Neptūnas-Akvaservis might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Neptūnas-Akvaservis will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 845:872. (average 76.8:79.3).Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 476:480. (average 79.3:80).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 9 | Neptunas 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 320:310 | 2 |
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| 12 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 396:401 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Lietuvos NKL | | | 03.04.26 | Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis | 75:79 | | 01.04.26 | Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2 | 93:103 | | 28.03.26 | Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis | 72:78 | | 20.01.26 | Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2 | 80:79 | | 18.10.25 | Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis | 87:75 | | 21.01.25 | Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2 | 80:91 | | 26.10.24 | Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis | 84:73 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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