Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Vilkaviškis District School of Sports (Vilkaviskis)


	Perlas Vilkaviškis		Kauno Žalgiris-2

	1	2
	1.65	2.03
	1.68	2.11
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.64	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perlas Vilkaviškis
55.6%

Kauno Žalgiris-2
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perlas Vilkaviškis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perlas Vilkaviškis than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Bancevicius A.	35. Brnovic M.
21. Gadsden Jr T.	12. Bulanovas M. (C)
5. Pazarauskas T.	4. Mikalauskas K.
33. Quillan G.	10. Raupelis N.
34. Stankevicius G.	7. Rudaitis J.
Substitutes
3. Ciuplys T.	2. Adamson S.
7. Hopenas A.	55. Grunkis D.
35. Kucinskas G.	17. Lavrinovic T.
23. Saterfield J. T.	16. Stombergas I.
50. Skucas Z.	3. Urbonavicius D.
19. Zukauskas M. (C)
Coaches
. Zablockis S.	. Kondratavicius R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 2.

Recent performances by Perlas Vilkaviškis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Žalgiris-2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Žalgiris-2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Žalgiris-2 will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1535:1536. (average 76.8:76.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 674:676. (average 74.9:75.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Vilkaviskis	3	2	1	272:248	2
8	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	3	2	1	302:295	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perlas Vilkaviškis
Lietuvos NKL
12.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	89:82 ✺
07.03.26	Telšiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	72:77 ✺
05.03.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Sūduva	78:76 ✺
28.02.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	91:67 ✺
26.02.26	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	87:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL
- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
12.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kėdainiai	92:86 ✺
07.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	81:92 ✺
05.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	79:58 ✺
24.02.26	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	83:93 ✺
21.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Sūduva	83:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
13.12.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	71:70
11.10.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	76:64
08.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	81:84
06.04.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	69:78
03.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	89:85
31.03.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	80:72
28.03.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	66:89

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