Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas-Akvaservis		Vytis Šakiai

	1	2
	1.7	1.96
	1.74	2.01
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.67	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	2 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
54%

Vytis Šakiai
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Vytis Šakiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Neptūnas Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Jonkus E. (C)	24. Celka G. (C)
77. Lesciauskas K.	22. Janusevicius T.
16. Macijauskas M.	11. Jocys R.
13. Maciulis R.	13. Leliukas K.
24. Metrikis K.	2. Vaivada N.
Substitutes
28. Remeikis D.	6. Mazeika G.
11. Rinkevicius T.	12. Mikstas A.
12. Sakaitis R.	1. Norutis R.
7. Sarakauskas S.	3. Velutis P.
39. Virkutis J.
31. Zilius E.
10. Zymantas A.
Coaches
. Gaidamavicius T.	. Kuciauskas E.

Preview

Neptunas leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 2.

Neptūnas-Akvaservis is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vytis Šakiai's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 633:687. (average 79.1:85.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 254:261. (average 84.7:87).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
9	Neptunas 2	4	2	2	320:310	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
12.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	71:80 ✺
07.04.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	89:71 ✺
03.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	75:79 ✺
01.04.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	93:103 ✺
28.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	72:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWLW
- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
12.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	71:80 ✺
10.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	90:85 ✺
08.04.26	Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai	69:75 ✺
04.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	103:107 OT ✺
31.03.26	Kretinga - Vytis Šakiai	78:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
12.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	71:80
05.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	88:89
27.11.25	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	92:70
30.11.24	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	87:82
07.11.24	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	90:87 OT
03.03.18	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	95:79
16.12.17	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	81:68

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